Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALT75507
Lingettes - DALAA - Pack de 3 - 60 unités - Hypoallergéniques - Douces et efficaces
longtail
3P
HYGIENE BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
3
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-50.0%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)
Current stock
872
≈ 372.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 19
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALT75507
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 127 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lingettes - DALAA - Pack de 3 - 60 unités - Hypoallergéniques - Douces et efficaces · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 872 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (483 days of history, 138 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.24 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 12 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 38.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 126.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.7 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.4K |