Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAALT19185
Faba - Sèche-Cheveux Professionnel Super Turbo 3900 Noir – Design Ergonomique - 1800 W
longtail
3P
COIFFURE
Last 4 weeks demand
4
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
10,010
≈ 7774.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 93
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-04
AAALT19185
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Faba - Sèche-Cheveux Professionnel Super Turbo 3900 Noir – Design Ergonomique - 1800 W · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, stable demand · on-hand 10010 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 72 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.75 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 20.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.8K |