Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALR95148
Rasoir Électrique 4-en-1 - KEMEI - KM-3024 - Rechargeable - Design Ergonomique - Utilisation Sèche/Humide
longtail
3P
BEAUTE - BIEN-ETRE
Last 4 weeks demand
25
▲ 92.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+31.6%
vs same 4w last year (19 units)
Current stock
31
≈ 10.9 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 102
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALR95148
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 122 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rasoir Électrique 4-en-1 - KEMEI - KM-3024 - Rechargeable - Design Ergonomique - Utilisation Sèche/Humide · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 25 units, trending up +92.3% · on-hand 31 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (595 days of history, 184 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.84 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 25 units · prev 4w = 13 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 16.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 42.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 40.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 121.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 12.5K |