Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALR13568-0001
Casquette - New Era - Red Bull Racing - Marine - 100% Polyester - Sportswear
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE MODE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
91
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
91
≈ 75.8 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 200
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28
AAALR13568-0001
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 32 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casquette - New Era - Red Bull Racing - Marine - 100% Polyester - Sportswear · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 90 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (553 days of history, 24 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 3 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 0.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 4.9 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 0.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 11.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 31.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 6.4K |