Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALP93722-0016
ADIDAS-Chaussure VL Court Base-Homme
longtail
1P
BASKET - SPORTSWEAR
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 250.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
11
Σ Stock across 5 live offers
1P stock
10
≈ 11.5 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 449
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAALP93722-0016
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 50 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
ADIDAS-Chaussure VL Court Base-Homme · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +250.0% · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 25 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.27 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 16.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 13.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 50.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 22.5K |