Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALP86978
Pince de fixation porte-balai - Non spécifié - 1 pièce - Fixation sans perçage - Plastique - Résistant
hero
3P
MEUBLES D'EXTERIEUR - DE JARDIN
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-90.7%
vs same 4w last year (43 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-01
AAALP86978
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 254 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pince de fixation porte-balai - Non spécifié - 1 pièce - Fixation sans perçage - Plastique - Résistant · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +100.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (588 days of history, 336 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.46 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 11.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 55.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 11.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 253.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.5K |