Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALP10471
Tasse à Café Portable - Non spécifié - Verre - Étui en Cuir - Couvercle Étanche - Design Élégant(Couleur aléatoire)
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 27.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
676
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAALP10471
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 362 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tasse à Café Portable - Non spécifié - Verre - Étui en Cuir - Couvercle Étanche - Design Élégant(Couleur aléatoire) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +27.3% · on-hand 676 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (651 days of history, 247 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.11 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 34.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 139.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 361.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.4K |