Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALP10471
Tasse à Café Portable - Non spécifié - Verre - Étui en Cuir - Couvercle Étanche - Design Élégant(Couleur aléatoire)
midtail
3P
SERVICE PETIT DEJEUNER
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 83.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
710
≈ 121.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 15
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALP10471
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 330 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Tasse à Café Portable - Non spécifié - Verre - Étui en Cuir - Couvercle Étanche - Design Élégant(Couleur aléatoire) · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -83.8% · on-hand 710 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (581 days of history, 222 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.08 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 8.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 38.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 98.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 22.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 108.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 329.7 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.8K |