Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALP08633
Paire de chandelles CRIC jack stand 3 tonnes (couleur aléatoire)
longtail
3P
NETTOYAGE - LIQUIDES ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
1
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
297
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 258
avg of last 13 sells · latest 2026-03-09
AAALP08633
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Paire de chandelles CRIC jack stand 3 tonnes (couleur aléatoire) · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 297 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (581 days of history, 9 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.36 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.6 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 37.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.8K |