Demand Forecast

Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
Back to category view
Molfix - Lingettes Bébé Peaux Sensibles Molfix 60 unités
SKU · AAALK17050

Molfix - Lingettes Bébé Peaux Sensibles Molfix 60 unités

longtail 1P HYGIENE BEBE OUT OF STOCK
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▲ 200.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-25.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)

Current stock

0
depleted

Unit price

MAD 10
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-21

AAALK17050

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 70 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Molfix - Lingettes Bébé Peaux Sensibles Molfix 60 unités · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +200.0% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (616 days of history, 54 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 1 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week1.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks5.5 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months20.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week4.8 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)22.9 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)70.3 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.6
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 678