Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALJ68335
Friteuse à air - Mgs - Af0324A - 5.5L + 3.5L - 2200W - Écran digital intuitif
longtail
1P + 3P
PETIT APPAREIL DE CUISSON
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▲ 175.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
42
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
14
≈ 6.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 660
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAALJ68335
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 152 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Friteuse à air - Mgs - Af0324A - 5.5L + 3.5L - 2200W - Écran digital intuitif · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending up +175.0% · on-hand 17 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 133 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.79 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 5.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 19.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 69.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 152.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 100.4K |