Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALJ67885
Sac à Dos Ordinateur Portable (15.6" / 17") - Imperméable & Antivol - Grand Volume pour Travail, Voyage et Quotidien - Noir
longtail
3P
BUSINESS
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▲ 300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
45
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 150
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-29
AAALJ67885
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 52 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Sac à Dos Ordinateur Portable (15.6" / 17") - Imperméable & Antivol - Grand Volume pour Travail, Voyage et Quotidien - Noir · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending up +300.0% · on-hand 45 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (651 days of history, 97 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.68 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 6.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 23.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 2.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 12.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 52.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.9K |