Demand Forecast

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Avent Biberon Natural 3.0 Teat +1M 260Ml Scy903/01
SKU · AAALI81199

Avent Biberon Natural 3.0 Teat +1M 260Ml Scy903/01

longtail 3P SOIN BEBE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

129
Σ Stock across 5 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 122
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-24

AAALI81199

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Avent Biberon Natural 3.0 Teat +1M 260Ml Scy903/01 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 133 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (686 days of history, 35 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.1 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks0.3 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months0.4 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		3.1 units
Optimistic — next week2.9 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)11.7 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)37.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.2
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 4.6K