Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALI81176
Avent Biberon Natural 3.0 Teat +0M 125Ml Scy900/01
longtail
3P
REPAS BEBE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 87.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
13
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 125
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-28
AAALI81176
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Avent Biberon Natural 3.0 Teat +0M 125Ml Scy900/01 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -87.5% · on-hand 14 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 30 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 16.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 60.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.6K |