Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALI79489
Telephone Portable Nokia 105 (2019) 1.77" (4Mo, 4Mo) Dual SIM - Noir
midtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 11.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
334
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 127
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-26
AAALI79489
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 388 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Telephone Portable Nokia 105 (2019) 1.77" (4Mo, 4Mo) Dual SIM - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -11.1% · on-hand 334 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (728 days of history, 252 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.10 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 18 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 164.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 11.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 39.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 388.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 49.4K |