Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALI79489
Telephone Portable Nokia 105 (2019) 1.77" (4Mo, 4Mo) Dual SIM - Noir
midtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+0.0%
vs same 4w last year (11 units)
Current stock
288
≈ 92.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 138
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAALI79489
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Telephone Portable Nokia 105 (2019) 1.77" (4Mo, 4Mo) Dual SIM - Noir · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, stable demand · on-hand 288 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (616 days of history, 234 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.12 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 11 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 34.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 117.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.6 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 16.1K |