Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALI75776
SHAMPOING OLIVE MYTHIQUE ULTRA DOUX 200 ML
longtail
1P + 3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
146
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-11-03
1P stock
60
≈ 810.0 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-11-03
Unit price
MAD 0
fallback (no price in OrderBook)
AAALI75776
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-11-02 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Why this forecast?
SHAMPOING OLIVE MYTHIQUE ULTRA DOUX 200 ML · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 60 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (182 days of history, 2 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.00 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |