Demand Forecast

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Ring Light 26 cm – Trépied Extensible 210 cm, 240 LEDs, Température 3200K–5600K Réglable
SKU · AAALI50674

Ring Light 26 cm – Trépied Extensible 210 cm, 240 LEDs, Température 3200K–5600K Réglable

longtail 3P VIDEOPROJECTION
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

47
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 110
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-30

AAALI50674

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual Realistic forecast Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Ring Light 26 cm – Trépied Extensible 210 cm, 240 LEDs, Température 3200K–5600K Réglable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 47 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (665 days of history, 144 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.81 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week1.7 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks7.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months26.7 units
Optimistic — next week3.5 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)15.3 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)62.4 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)1.1
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 6.8K