Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALH28041
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Itel - Buds S10 Sahara Edition - Blanc - 25h Autonomie - BT 5.3
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▼ 72.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-78.7%
vs same 4w last year (61 units)
Current stock
48
≈ 3.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 68
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALH28041
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 251 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Itel - Buds S10 Sahara Edition - Blanc - 25h Autonomie - BT 5.3 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending down -72.3% · on-hand 48 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (581 days of history, 735 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.96 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 47 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 20.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 59.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 84.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 250.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 17.1K |