Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALH28036
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Buds itel - S10 Sahara Edition - Noir - 25 heures d'autonomie - BT 5.3
hero
3P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
45
▼ 45.1% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
173
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
1
≈ 0.1 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 63
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAALH28036
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 324 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Buds itel - S10 Sahara Edition - Noir - 25 heures d'autonomie - BT 5.3 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 45 units, trending down -45.1% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (665 days of history, 599 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 45 units · prev 4w = 82 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 11.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 47.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 163.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 82.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 323.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 20.3K |