Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALH28036
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Buds itel - S10 Sahara Edition - Noir - 25 heures d'autonomie - BT 5.3
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
11
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-89.0%
vs same 4w last year (100 units)
Current stock
136
≈ 12.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 70
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALH28036
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 268 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Écouteurs Bluetooth - Buds itel - S10 Sahara Edition - Noir - 25 heures d'autonomie - BT 5.3 · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 136 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (609 days of history, 573 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 33 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 27.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 82.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 80.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 268.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 18.7K |