Demand Forecast
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SKU · AAALG54306
Okapi Couteau lame de verrouillage Afrique du Sud lune & étoiles 24 cm
longtail
3P
DECOUPE DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
22
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+2100.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
40
≈ 30.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAALG54306
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 83 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Okapi Couteau lame de verrouillage Afrique du Sud lune & étoiles 24 cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 22 units, stable demand · on-hand 40 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (616 days of history, 100 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.98 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 22 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 13.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 32.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 33.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 83.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.6K |