Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALE58237
Lanterne solaire - Non spécifié - Modèle non spécifié - LED - Détecteur de mouvement - Étanche
midtail
3P
LUMINAIRE D'EXTERIEUR
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-06-27
AAALE58237
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 319 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Lanterne solaire - Non spécifié - Modèle non spécifié - LED - Détecteur de mouvement - Étanche · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (427 days of history, 257 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.84 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 16.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 100.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 318.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 3.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.9K |