Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAALC09511
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro casques à suppression de bruit écouteurs de son stéréo de jeu de sport prend en charge TF
longtail
3P
PERIPHERIQUE PC
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 66.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
DORMANT
SKU existed but sold 0 units same 4w last year
Current stock
798
≈ 429.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAALC09511
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 120 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Casque Bluetooth sans fil P9 avec micro casques à suppression de bruit écouteurs de son stéréo de jeu de sport prend en charge TF · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -66.7% · on-hand 798 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (630 days of history, 101 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.50 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 28.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 119.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.4K |