Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAKT84124
SAMSUNG Smartphone Galaxy A06 Light blue 6.7" Octa Core 6Go 128Go Android 4G DS 8Mpx50Mpx2Mpx
longtail
3P
SMARTPHONE - MOBILE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
11
new activity (no prior baseline)
Year-over-year
+450.0%
vs same 4w last year (2 units)
Current stock
0
depleted
Unit price
MAD 1.2K
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-28
AAAKT84124
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 49 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
SAMSUNG Smartphone Galaxy A06 Light blue 6.7" Octa Core 6Go 128Go Android 4G DS 8Mpx50Mpx2Mpx · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 11 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (560 days of history, 36 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.92 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 11 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 15.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 14.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 48.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 60.3K |