Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAKI43971
XIAOMI - Écouteurs sans fil - Redmi Buds 6 Play - Suppression active du bruit - Design ergonomique - Noir
hero
1P
ACCESSOIRE TELEPHONE
Last 4 weeks demand
159
▼ 36.7% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
72
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
72
≈ 1.5 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 102
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAKI43971
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 810 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
XIAOMI - Écouteurs sans fil - Redmi Buds 6 Play - Suppression active du bruit - Design ergonomique - Noir · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 159 units, trending down -36.7% · on-hand 99 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (672 days of history, 3,418 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.96 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 159 units · prev 4w = 251 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 55.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 177.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 505.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 64.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 244.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 810.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 28.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 82.6K |