Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAKE82631
Porte Capsules de Café - MDF - Rangement à Tiroirs - Bois MDF - 31x30x9,5 cm - Beige
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
2
new activity (no prior baseline)
Offer Stock
8
Σ Stock across 1 live offer
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 246
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-03-17
AAAKE82631
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 38 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Porte Capsules de Café - MDF - Rangement à Tiroirs - Bois MDF - 31x30x9,5 cm - Beige · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, new activity (no prior baseline) · on-hand 8 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (637 days of history, 17 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.40 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 13.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 1.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 8.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 38.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.4K |