Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAJX18502
Machine à Laver Pliable - DENWA - DWM-721AB - 3KG - 180W - Blanc et Bleu
longtail
3P
LAVAGE-SECHAGE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
10
▼ 54.5% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
2
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P)
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 344
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-24
AAAJX18502
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 212 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Machine à Laver Pliable - DENWA - DWM-721AB - 3KG - 180W - Blanc et Bleu · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, trending down -54.5% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (749 days of history, 92 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.72 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 56.1 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 9.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 10.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 36.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 212.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 72.8K |