Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAJM34989
Support TV Mural - Fixe - 26-63 - Acier laminé
longtail
3P
ACCESSOIRES TV - VIDEO - SON
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 142.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
100
Σ Stock across 2 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 45
avg of last 24 sells · latest 2026-04-28
AAAJM34989
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Support TV Mural - Fixe - 26-63 - Acier laminé · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +142.9% · on-hand 100 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (609 days of history, 42 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.94 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 8.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 81.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.7K |