Demand Forecast

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Sérum Correcteur de Taches - ANUA - Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% - 30ML - Non Comédogène - Hydratant
SKU · AAAJJ12180

Sérum Correcteur de Taches - ANUA - Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% - 30ML - Non Comédogène - Hydratant

longtail 3P CORPS ET VISAGE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

3
▲ 50.0% vs prev 4w

Offer Stock

28
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02

1P stock

0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot

Unit price

MAD 229
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-28

AAAJJ12180

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 81 units.
Actual Realistic forecast (p50) Optimistic Out of stock

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

Sérum Correcteur de Taches - ANUA - Niacinamide 10% + TXA 4% - 30ML - Non Comédogène - Hydratant · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 3 units, trending up +50.0% · on-hand 28 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (770 days of history, 55 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.85 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 3 units · prev 4w = 2 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic forecast — next week0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks0.0 units
Realistic forecast — next 3 months21.3 units
Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks
the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4		0.1 units
Optimistic — next week2.4 units
Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target)11.5 units
Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)80.8 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.8
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 18.5K