Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAJD58198
Boîte de rangement - HOBBYLIFE - 2 compartiments - Couleur Aléatoire - Pratique - Durable
longtail
1P
ACCESSOIRE DE MEUBLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
56
≈ 28.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-01
AAAJD58198
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 164 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Boîte de rangement - HOBBYLIFE - 2 compartiments - Couleur Aléatoire - Pratique - Durable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 56 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (595 days of history, 135 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 3.66 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 24.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 163.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.9 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.0K |