Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIY53368
CITYTEK - Kit Nettoyage Multifonction pour Phone et PC - MF109337
midtail
1P
MATERIEL D'ENTRETIEN
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 20.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+20.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
6
≈ 1.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 34
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAIY53368
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 117 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CITYTEK - Kit Nettoyage Multifonction pour Phone et PC - MF109337 · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +20.0% · on-hand 6 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (658 days of history, 90 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.74 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 5 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 26.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.1 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 116.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.0 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.0K |