Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIY34385
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire
hero
1P + 3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
16
▼ 48.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
3,431
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
2,138
≈ 141.6 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-01
AAAIY34385
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 357 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 16 units, trending down -48.4% · on-hand 2138 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (672 days of history, 829 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.44 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 16 units · prev 4w = 31 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 9.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 39.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 155.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 16.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 77.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 357.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 6.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.2K |