Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIY34385
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire
hero
1P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
53
▲ 8.2% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+430.0%
vs same 4w last year (10 units)
Current stock
1,867
≈ 117.2 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAIY34385
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 406 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 53 units, trending up +8.2% · on-hand 1867 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (616 days of history, 792 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.41 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 53 units · prev 4w = 49 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 12.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 54.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 132.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 24.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 147.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 406.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 10.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.9K |