Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIY34385
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire
hero
1P + 3P
LINGE DE LIT
Last 4 weeks demand
90
▼ 10.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
6,827
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
1,932
≈ 123.3 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAAIY34385
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 1567 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pack de 2 Taies d'oreiller - 50x70cm - 100% Coton - couleur aléatoire · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 90 units, trending down -10.0% · on-hand 1932 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (735 days of history, 926 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.42 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 90 units · prev 4w = 100 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 11.8 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 467.6 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 33.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 34.0 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 150.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 1566.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 23.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 25.0K |