Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIW58089
Rideau fenêtre lin avec anneaux - 140x240 cm - Couleur Aléatoire
longtail
1P
RIDEAU - STORE - ACCESSOIRE
OUT OF STOCK
Last 4 weeks demand
4
▼ 42.9% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
0
no live offers
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the latest snapshot
Unit price
MAD 76
avg of last 19 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAAIW58089
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 73 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Rideau fenêtre lin avec anneaux - 140x240 cm - Couleur Aléatoire · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -42.9% · on-hand 0 units (OUT OF STOCK)
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 22 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.46 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 3.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 40.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 20.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 72.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.6K |