Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIJ05311
CASSEROLE - HASHEVER - 800 ML - Inox - 14 cm - Compatible tous feux
hero
1P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 97.3% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-95.2%
vs same 4w last year (21 units)
Current stock
237
≈ 25.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 27
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-05
AAAIJ05311
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 284 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CASSEROLE - HASHEVER - 800 ML - Inox - 14 cm - Compatible tous feux · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -97.3% · on-hand 237 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (483 days of history, 530 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.88 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 37 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.4 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 18.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 68.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 15.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 92.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 283.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.8K |