Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIJ05311
CASSEROLE - HASHEVER - 800 ML - Inox - 14 cm - Compatible tous feux
hero
3P
CUISSON DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
47
▼ 70.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
636
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
12
≈ 1.2 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-10-02
Unit price
MAD 31
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-29
AAAIJ05311
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 964 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
CASSEROLE - HASHEVER - 800 ML - Inox - 14 cm - Compatible tous feux · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 47 units, trending down -70.6% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (616 days of history, 695 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.19 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 47 units · prev 4w = 160 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 292.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 26.5 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 18.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 95.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 963.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 13.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 30.1K |