Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAIC64405
Plateau en bois avec poignées en acier inoxydable 36*24,5*7,7cm
longtail
1P + 3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▲ 500.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
125
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
12
≈ 46.7 weeks of cover · MARJANEMALL · 2026-08-05
Unit price
MAD 119
avg of last 27 sells · latest 2026-07-31
AAAIC64405
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 66 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Plateau en bois avec poignées en acier inoxydable 36*24,5*7,7cm · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending up +500.0% · on-hand 12 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (728 days of history, 18 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.43 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 4.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 19.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 66.2 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.9K |