Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ39212
Déodorant Anti-Transpirant - REXONA - Cobalt Dry - 200 mL - 72h Protection - Sans Alcool
longtail
1P
CORPS ET VISAGE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Offer Stock
91
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
28
≈ 116.7 weeks of cover · latest warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 20
avg of last 7 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAHZ39212
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 0 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Déodorant Anti-Transpirant - REXONA - Cobalt Dry - 200 mL - 72h Protection - Sans Alcool · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, stable demand · on-hand 28 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (350 days of history, 12 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.35 — low
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | — units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | — units |
| Optimistic — next week | — units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | — units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | — units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | — |