Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ30430
Mini Balance numérique de poche pour bijoux, pesette de poche pour le grammage de l'or, bascule portable
longtail
3P
OUTIL DE MESURE
Last 4 weeks demand
14
▲ 1300.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
132
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-14
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-14 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-10-04
AAAHZ30430
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-10-05 · Total forecast: 87 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Mini Balance numérique de poche pour bijoux, pesette de poche pour le grammage de l'or, bascule portable · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 14 units, trending up +1300.0% · on-hand 133 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (294 days of history, 84 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.82 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 14 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 8.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 22.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 10.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 25.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 86.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |