Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ21694
Huile capillaire - Dabur - Amla - 200ml - Brillance - Tous types de cheveux
hero
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
19
▼ 60.4% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
150
Σ Stock across 3 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 26
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-26
AAAHZ21694
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 358 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Huile capillaire - Dabur - Amla - 200ml - Brillance - Tous types de cheveux · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 19 units, trending down -60.4% · on-hand 151 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (686 days of history, 845 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.04 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 19 units · prev 4w = 48 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 13.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 47.7 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 164.2 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 19.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 82.8 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 358.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 7.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 9.3K |