Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ21682
Huile capillaire - DABUR - Amla Gold - 200ml - Brillance - Hydratant - Tous types de cheveux
midtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 43.8% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-64.0%
vs same 4w last year (25 units)
Current stock
70
≈ 15.0 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 23
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAHZ21682
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 147 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Huile capillaire - DABUR - Amla Gold - 200ml - Brillance - Hydratant - Tous types de cheveux · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -43.8% · on-hand 70 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (637 days of history, 323 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 16 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 5.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 56.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 51.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 147.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.4K |