Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ21666
Huile Capillaire - DABUR - Amla - 100ml - Réparateur - Tous types de cheveux - Brillance
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
10
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
+100.0%
vs same 4w last year (5 units)
Current stock
129
≈ 66.7 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 16
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAHZ21666
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 80 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Huile Capillaire - DABUR - Amla - 100ml - Réparateur - Tous types de cheveux - Brillance · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 10 units, stable demand · on-hand 129 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (637 days of history, 132 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.66 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 10 units · prev 4w = 10 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 3.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 10.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 29.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.7 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 80.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.2K |