Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ21666
Huile Capillaire - DABUR - Amla - 100ml - Réparateur - Tous types de cheveux - Brillance
longtail
3P
CAPILLAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
17
▲ 183.3% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
103
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 14
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAAHZ21666
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 64 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Huile Capillaire - DABUR - Amla - 100ml - Réparateur - Tous types de cheveux - Brillance · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 17 units, trending up +183.3% · on-hand 110 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (749 days of history, 127 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.65 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 17 units · prev 4w = 6 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): 2 weeks → past demand likely understated
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 2.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.0 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 8.3 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.4 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.1 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 64.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 874 |