Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHZ20036
Doppelherz aktiv Uricalm Confort Urinaire - Cranberry & Pissenlit - 30 Comprimés
longtail
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
5
▼ 28.6% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
54
Σ Stock across 6 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 85
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-01
AAAHZ20036
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 58 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Doppelherz aktiv Uricalm Confort Urinaire - Cranberry & Pissenlit - 30 Comprimés · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 5 units, trending down -28.6% · on-hand 54 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 46 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.76 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 5 units · prev 4w = 7 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 1.5 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 5.4 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 17.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 3.9 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 17.3 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 58.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.3 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 5.0K |