Demand Forecast

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MACHINE ESPRESSO - DENWA - DCF-222CA - 19 BAR - 1450W - 4EN1
SKU · AAAHZ17020

MACHINE ESPRESSO - DENWA - DCF-222CA - 19 BAR - 1450W - 4EN1

longtail 1P PETIT DEJEUNER - CAFE
Open on marjanemall.ma

Last 4 weeks demand

4
▼ 20.0% vs prev 4w

Year-over-year

-33.3%
vs same 4w last year (6 units)

Current stock

8
≈ 8.6 weeks of cover

Unit price

MAD 769
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06

AAAHZ17020

History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU. Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual Forecast p50 (expected) Forecast p95 (upper bound)

Price history

Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?

MACHINE ESPRESSO - DENWA - DCF-222CA - 19 BAR - 1450W - 4EN1 · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 4 units, trending down -20.0% · on-hand 8 units

Signals the model saw

  • Cohort: longtail (651 days of history, 50 units sold over 52 weeks)
  • Volatility (CV): 0.59 — moderate
  • Recent trend: last 4w = 4 units · prev 4w = 5 units
  • Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
  • Calendar events firing in forecast window: none

Model output

Realistic (p50) — next week2.1 units
Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks8.6 units
Realistic (p50) — next 3 months26.2 units
Optimistic (p95) — next week5.0 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target)20.5 units
Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target)61.6 units
Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline)2.0
Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months MAD 47.4K