Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHY91712
KIMO FINDS 100 sacs de conservation des aliments réutilisables élastiques a fermeture extensible
hero
3P
CONSERVATION DES ALIMENTS
Last 4 weeks demand
9
▼ 59.1% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-66.7%
vs same 4w last year (27 units)
Current stock
191
≈ 23.4 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-06
AAAHY91712
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 262 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
KIMO FINDS 100 sacs de conservation des aliments réutilisables élastiques a fermeture extensible · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 9 units, trending down -59.1% · on-hand 191 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (658 days of history, 450 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.25 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 9 units · prev 4w = 22 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 4.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 21.7 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 69.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 12.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 75.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 262.5 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.4 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 3.1K |