Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHY91417
Pompe à Eau Potable - Non spécifié - Automatique - Recharge USB - Distribution automatique - Filtration avancée
longtail
3P
OBJET DE DECORATION - BIBELOT
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 75.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
40
Σ Stock across 4 live offers
1P stock
0
not in latest 1P warehouse snapshot
Unit price
MAD 66
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-02
AAAHY91417
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 71 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pompe à Eau Potable - Non spécifié - Automatique - Recharge USB - Distribution automatique - Filtration avancée · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -75.0% · on-hand 40 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 51 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.60 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.2 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 9.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 28.0 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 5.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 24.6 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 70.8 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 4.6K |