Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHY22384
Taurus Blender MEXICO 500 +moulin bol en plastique1.5L,500w 4 lames-2ans de garantie
longtail
3P
PREPARATION CULINAIRE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-75.0%
vs same 4w last year (4 units)
Current stock
25
≈ 10.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 270
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAHY22384
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 118 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Taurus Blender MEXICO 500 +moulin bol en plastique1.5L,500w 4 lames-2ans de garantie · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 25 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (567 days of history, 62 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.76 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 8.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 28.2 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.0 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 29.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 118.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 32.0K |