Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHY19126
PROTECT PRESERVATIFS NATURE BOITE DE 6 PIECES
midtail
3P
SEXUALITE - GROSSESSE
Last 4 weeks demand
1
▼ 50.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
664
Σ Stock across 2 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 8
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-07-13
AAAHY19126
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 156 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PROTECT PRESERVATIFS NATURE BOITE DE 6 PIECES · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 1 units, trending down -50.0% · on-hand 280 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (728 days of history, 252 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.42 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 1 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 2.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 12.3 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 57.8 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 6.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 30.5 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 155.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.2 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 1.3K |