Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHX08415
Appareil Chauffe Cire + 2 cartouche de Miel + 2x 80 Bandes paper + Kit de rasoirs
longtail
3P
RASAGE - EPILATION
Last 4 weeks demand
2
▼ 85.7% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-77.8%
vs same 4w last year (9 units)
Current stock
840
≈ 565.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 94
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-07
AAAHX08415
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 75 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Appareil Chauffe Cire + 2 cartouche de Miel + 2x 80 Bandes paper + Kit de rasoirs · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 2 units, trending down -85.7% · on-hand 840 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (672 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.78 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 2 units · prev 4w = 14 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.6 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 9.9 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 27.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 28.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 75.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 7.0K |