Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHW57318
Vaporisateur d'Huile - Argenté - 100ml - Verre de qualité alimentaire - Réutilisable - Spray polyvalent
longtail
3P
SERVICE DE TABLE
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
33
≈ 28.6 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 12
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-30
AAAHW57318
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-22 · Total forecast: 60 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Vaporisateur d'Huile - Argenté - 100ml - Verre de qualité alimentaire - Réutilisable - Spray polyvalent · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 33 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (630 days of history, 90 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.71 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 1 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 4.1 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 14.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 3.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 15.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 59.6 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 1.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 699 |