Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHT83936
Pare-brise de voiture 2 en 1, pare-soleil, parapluie de Protection, marteau de sécurité d'urgence
midtail
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
6
▼ 25.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
10,159
Σ Stock across 4 live offers (1P + 3P) · 2026-10-02
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-10-02 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-09-27
AAAHT83936
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-09-28 · Total forecast: 62 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast (p50)
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pare-brise de voiture 2 en 1, pare-soleil, parapluie de Protection, marteau de sécurité d'urgence · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 6 units, trending down -25.0% · on-hand 10162 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (812 days of history, 163 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.37 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 6 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 0.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 4.9 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 15.4 units |
| Planning level (p75) — next 4 weeks the order-sizing basis; demand exceeds it ~1 week in 4 | 12.1 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 31.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 62.1 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 5.5 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 2.3K |