Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHT83936
Pare-brise de voiture 2 en 1, pare-soleil, parapluie de Protection, marteau de sécurité d'urgence
midtail
3P
CONFORT CONDUCTEUR ET PASSAGER
Last 4 weeks demand
13
▲ 62.5% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
+1200.0%
vs same 4w last year (1 units)
Current stock
898
≈ 137.8 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 37
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-05-03
AAAHT83936
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 271 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Pare-brise de voiture 2 en 1, pare-soleil, parapluie de Protection, marteau de sécurité d'urgence · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 13 units, trending up +62.5% · on-hand 898 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (700 days of history, 93 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.37 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 13 units · prev 4w = 8 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 2.8 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 14.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 53.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 9.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 61.4 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 271.4 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 4.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 10.0K |