Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAHS17267
Aspirateur à main - BLACK + DECKER - Dustbuster Wet & Dry - Sans fil - 0,38 L - Autonomie 8 min
longtail
3P
ENTRETIEN DES SOLS - ENTRETIEN DE LA MAISON
Last 4 weeks demand
20
▲ 400.0% vs prev 4w
Offer Stock
73
Σ Stock across 1 live offer (1P + 3P) · 2026-08-05
1P stock
0
no 1P (MARJANEMALL) stock in the 2026-08-05 snapshot
Unit price
MAD 161
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-08-02
AAAHS17267
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-08-03 · Total forecast: 85 units.
Actual
Realistic forecast
Optimistic
Out of stock
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Aspirateur à main - BLACK + DECKER - Dustbuster Wet & Dry - Sans fil - 0,38 L - Autonomie 8 min · in the longtail cohort · last 4 weeks 20 units, trending up +400.0% · on-hand 73 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: longtail (686 days of history, 58 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 0.89 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 20 units · prev 4w = 4 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic forecast — next week | 4.0 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 4 weeks | 14.6 units |
| Realistic forecast — next 3 months | 43.9 units |
| Optimistic — next week | 7.2 units |
| Optimistic — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 26.7 units |
| Optimistic — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 84.9 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.1 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 13.7K |