Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAGZ76651
Ramette de papier blanc TARGET 80 grammes A4 / 500 feuilles
midtail
3P
PAPIER - CAHIER - CARNET
Last 4 weeks demand
0
≈ stable (0.0% vs prev 4w)
Year-over-year
—
vs same 4w last year (0 units)
Current stock
10
≈ 1.5 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 40
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-03-17
AAAGZ76651
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 394 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
Ramette de papier blanc TARGET 80 grammes A4 / 500 feuilles · in the midtail cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, stable demand · on-hand 10 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: midtail (630 days of history, 4 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 2.62 — high (lumpy)
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 0 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 6.0 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 43.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 7.5 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 45.6 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 394.0 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | — |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 15.6K |