Demand Forecast
Drill-down by category, sub-category, or SKU (p50 + p95 model)
SKU · AAAGS53815
PACK = PURE COLLAGEN 90 Comprimés + Gratuite ZINC 30 Comprimés
hero
3P
COMPLEMENTS ALIMENTAIRES - THE INFUSION
Last 4 weeks demand
0
▼ 100.0% vs prev 4w
Year-over-year
-100.0%
vs same 4w last year (56 units)
Current stock
29
≈ 3.1 weeks of cover
Unit price
MAD 117
avg of last 30 sells · latest 2026-04-27
AAAGS53815
History (last 52 weeks) and LightGBM p95-quantile forecast for the SKU.
Cutoff: 2026-06-08 · Total forecast: 222 units.
Actual
Forecast p50 (expected)
Forecast p95 (upper bound)
Price history
Weekly qty-weighted average (MAD) of every non-null price/cost column in the OrderBook for this SKU. Click a legend entry to hide/show a line.
Why this forecast?
PACK = PURE COLLAGEN 90 Comprimés + Gratuite ZINC 30 Comprimés · in the hero cohort · last 4 weeks 0 units, trending down -100.0% · on-hand 29 units
Signals the model saw
- Cohort: hero (644 days of history, 68 units sold over 52 weeks)
- Volatility (CV): 1.35 — moderate
- Recent trend: last 4w = 0 units · prev 4w = 2 units
- Stockouts (last 13 weeks): none — history is reliable
- Calendar events firing in forecast window: none
Model output
| Realistic (p50) — next week | 1.2 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 4 weeks | 7.3 units |
| Realistic (p50) — next 3 months | 35.9 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next week | 6.8 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 4 weeks (reorder target) | 44.3 units |
| Optimistic (p95) — next 3 months (quarterly PO target) | 222.3 units |
| Legacy μ/wk (reorder pipeline) | 2.8 |
| Revenue exposure — optimistic, 3 months | MAD 26.0K |